Valuation frameworks for crypto assets

DeFi Primitives

Protocol assets evaluated through fees, protocol revenue, TVL efficiency, utilization, treasury value, and tokenholder capture.

Static methodology preview. Live data pipeline planned. Not investment advice.

Valuation Framework Categories

The model set is selected for the economic behavior of this asset class.

Protocol revenueCapital efficiencyTokenholder capture

Class Bubble Map

Static class view of valuation gap and evidence quality.

DeFi Bubble Map

Static methodology preview. Live data pipeline not yet connected.

Premium to model-implied value Discount to model-implied value Model-implied parity Asset Evidence PENDLE DeFi PENDLE: valuation gap 19%, evidence 72/100 19% 72 SKY DeFi SKY: valuation gap 19%, evidence 72/100 19% 72 AAVE DeFi AAVE: valuation gap 16%, evidence 72/100 16% 72 INJ DeFi INJ: valuation gap 14%, evidence 69/100 14% 69 LDO DeFi LDO: valuation gap 14%, evidence 69/100 14% 69 ENA DeFi ENA: valuation gap 8%, evidence 66/100 8% 66 SYRUP DeFi SYRUP: valuation gap 8%, evidence 66/100 8% 66 MORPHO DeFi MORPHO: valuation gap 3%, evidence 63/100 3% 63 AERO DeFi AERO: valuation gap 3%, evidence 63/100 3% 63 CRV DeFi CRV: valuation gap -3%, evidence 60/100 -3% 60 CVL Valuation Gap
X-axis: Composite Model-Implied FDV / Actual FDV - 1 Row labels keep every asset visible; evidence score is shown at right Size: FDV or market cap Border: method confidence Opacity: data completeness

Models & Implied Value

Each model states what it measures and where its confidence breaks down.

Protocol economics

FDV / Fees

Compares fully diluted value with annualized fees.

Model-implied value method Applies a fee multiple range to protocol fees.

Core inputs

FDVannualized feesfee multiple

Fees may not accrue to tokenholders.

Protocol revenue

FDV / Protocol Revenue

Capitalizes protocol revenue where revenue definitions are sourceable.

Model-implied value method Applies a revenue multiple range to protocol revenue.

Core inputs

protocol revenuerevenue multiplecapture policy

Definitions vary across data vendors.

Capital efficiency

TVL Efficiency

Relates revenue and usage to capital locked in the protocol.

Model-implied value method Scores revenue per unit of TVL and converts it into a model adjustment.

Core inputs

TVLfeesprotocol revenueutilization

High efficiency can reflect higher risk or incentives.

Usage intensity

Utilization Model

Models value through lending, liquidity, or protocol utilization.

Model-implied value method Applies utilization scenarios to revenue capacity.

Core inputs

utilizationspreadsliquidity depth

Utilization should be risk-adjusted.

Value capture

Tokenholder Capture

Tests whether protocol activity translates into token-level economics.

Model-implied value method Applies a tokenholder capture rate to protocol economics.

Core inputs

protocol revenuecapture rategovernance policy

Weak capture can make strong protocol metrics less relevant.

Balance sheet and optionality

Treasury / Option Value

Assesses treasury assets and governance option value.

Model-implied value method Adds discounted treasury and option components to operating models.

Core inputs

treasurystrategic optionsgovernance rights

Option value is subjective and should stay scenario-based.

Method Ratings

Method confidence reflects evidence quality, source availability, and token-level capture clarity.

Medium confidence

68/100

Protocol revenue evidence

DeFi protocols can expose good data, but token-level capture is often the limiting factor.

Medium confidence

66/100

Capital efficiency

TVL efficiency is useful when utilization and risk are measured together.

Scenario Simulator

A local assumption shell for testing scenario sensitivity without live data.

Scenario sensitivity

DeFi protocol scenario

Model-implied FDV $18.0B

Static methodology preview. Changes here recompute a local scenario number only.

Source Trail

Planned source families for turning this framework into a data-backed dashboard.

CoinGecko

price, market cap, FDV, supply, and volume

DefiLlama

TVL, fees, revenue, and DeFi volumes

Coin Metrics

BTC-style realized cap, MVRV, and network metrics

Dune or manual source trails

custom on-chain datasets and methodology notes

Asset List

Assets currently mapped to this valuation class.

Asset Class Model coverage Data completeness Tokenholder capture Confidence Link
AAVE Aave DeFi Medium 72/100 Partial 66/100 Open
MORPHO Morpho DeFi Medium 62/100 Partial 60/100 Open
ENA Ethena DeFi Medium 66/100 Partial 65/100 Open
INJ Injective DeFi Medium 70/100 Partial 55/100 Open
PENDLE Pendle DeFi Medium 58/100 Partial 60/100 Open
CRV Curve DeFi Medium 62/100 Partial 65/100 Open
AERO Aerodrome DeFi Medium 66/100 Partial 55/100 Open
SYRUP Maple Finance DeFi Medium 70/100 Partial 60/100 Open
LDO Lido DAO DeFi Medium 58/100 Partial 65/100 Open
SKY Sky DeFi Medium 62/100 Partial 55/100 Open